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The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science
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Problems and Paradoxes in Economic and Social Policies of Modern Welfare States

W. ALLEN SPIVEY

Relationships between economic growth rates and the expansion of welfare expenditures in Western nations are examined. The point is made that real gross national product grew rapidly from about 1959 until about 1973, but that since 1973 it has either grown slowly or not at all, while welfare expenditures and entitlements have continued to escalate. Forecasts of a variety of important economic variables in these countries for the near term are presented and discussed, and it is concluded that despite the current modest economic improvement, difficulties in funding welfare states will continue throughout the remainder of the 1980s. Some consideration is given to problems in welfare states to the end of the century, and further difficulties in funding and managing these states are forecast for this period as well. Problems of welfare states are not regarded as short-term by-products of maladjustments experienced in the Western world in the last 10 years but rather as long-term characteristics.

The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, Vol. 479, No. 1, 14-30 (1985)
DOI: 10.1177/0002716285479001002
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